RAND: Understanding Russian Coercive Signaling
Date: October 27th, 2022 at 17:00 CET / 11:00 EDT Platform: Cisco Webex Events
Link to Video Recording
Abstract
Moscow regularly uses limited military actions—far short of direct aggression but often creating escalatory risks—that have caused concern and consternation in Western capitals. It is, however, far from clear what Russia intends to signal through these actions. The discussion will focus on analysis of these activities during recent years to provide a better understanding of the drivers of Moscow's behavior and practical guidelines for assessing future events.
Details
Samuel Charap and Andrew Stravers from the RAND Corporation will provide insights into Russian coercive signaling, focusing on the drivers of Moscow's behavior and practical guidelines for assessing future events.
Biographies
Samuel Charap
Title: Senior Political Scientist Affiliation: RAND Corporation
Samuel Charap is a senior political scientist at the RAND Corporation. His research interests include the foreign policies of Russia and the former Soviet states; European and Eurasian regional security; and U.S.-Russia deterrence, strategic stability, and arms control.
Charap's book on the Ukraine crisis, Everyone Loses: The Ukraine Crisis and the Ruinous Contest for Post-Soviet Eurasia (coauthored with Timothy Colton), was published in January 2017. He is fluent in Russian and proficient in Ukrainian. Charap holds a Ph.D. in political science and an M.Phil. in Russian and East European studies from the University of Oxford, where he was a Marshall Scholar.
Andrew Stravers
Title: Associate Political Scientist Affiliation: RAND Corporation
Andrew (Andy) Stravers joined RAND as an Associate Political Scientist in August 2019. His research focuses on military base politics, American foreign policy, grand strategy, and great power politics.
Andy has worked on projects related to Russian coercive signaling behavior, strategic competition, global force management, and others. He holds a Ph.D. from the University of Texas-Austin, where he was a Postdoctoral Research Fellow. He has published in the American Political Science Review, Conflict Management and Peace Science, and the Journal of Global Security Studies.