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Project Connect: Andrew Monaghan- “Living in Different Worlds?” Interpreting Russia’s Cognitive Maps, Strategy and Scenario Planning Through 2030: Difference between revisions

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'''Date:''' June 11th, 2025 at 15:00 CET / 09:00 EDT
'''Date:''' June 11th, 2025 at 15:00 CET / 09:00 EDT
'''Platform:''' Cisco Webex Events
'''Platform:''' Cisco Webex Events
'''Co-hosted by:''' Russia Strategic Initiative and Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
=== Link to Video Recording ===
=== Link to Video Recording ===
[Recording Link]
[Recording Link]
'''Recording Password:''' pSF5Ta4G
'''Recording Password:''' pSF5Ta4G
=== Connection Instructions ===
=== Details ===
Using the registration link, register for the event ahead of time. Webex will send a message with a link 15 minutes before the event. When joining, especially for government attendees, click "Join by browser" which is under the "Join Now" button in blue. The blue button will open the desktop application, which isn't possible on government computers.
Michael Kofman, Eugene Rumer, and Dara Massicot will present their latest research and discuss the main developments concerning Russian future force design, global posture, and the Russian military as a learning organization.
=== Format ===
==== Presentation Areas ====
The panelists presented for 20 minutes each followed by 20 minutes of Q&A.
'''Eugene Rumer:''' The transformed map of Russia’s new global posture, the durability of the drivers underlying it, and implications for U.S. interests - Starts at minute 0
=== Agenda ===
'''Dara Massicot:''' How lessons are identified and implemented within the Russian military and its supporting defense ecosystem, and how that learning will shape the Russian military - Starts at minute 22
==== 1500-1522 CET / 0900-0922 EDT ====
'''Michael Kofman:''' Russian force design following the Russia-Ukraine war - Starts at minute 41
'''Presentation on Russia's Global Posture: The More it Changes, The More it Remains the Same'''
'''Questions and Answers:''' Starts at minute 104
Eugene Rumer will discuss the transformed map of Russia's new global posture, the durability of the drivers underlying it, and implications for U.S. interests.
=== Biography ===
==== 1522-1541 CET / 0922-0941 EDT ====
'''Presentation on The Russian Military as a Learning Organization'''
Dara Massicot will examine how lessons are identified and implemented within the Russian military and its supporting defense ecosystem, and how that learning will shape the Russian military.
==== 1541-1600 CET / 0941-1000 EDT ====
'''Presentation on Back To the Future: The Evolution of Russian Force Design'''
Michael Kofman will analyze Russian force design following the Russia-Ukraine war.
==== 1600-1644 CET / 1000-1044 EDT ====
'''Question & Answer Session'''
=== Panelists ===
==== Michael Kofman ====
==== Michael Kofman ====
[[File:Photo_Michael_Kofman.jpg|thumb|200px|Michael Kofman]]
[[File:Photo_Michael_Kofman.jpg|thumb|200px|Michael Kofman]]
'''Title:''' Senior Fellow, Russia and Eurasia Program
'''Title:''' Senior Fellow
'''Affiliation:''' Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
'''Affiliation:''' Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Michael Kofman is a senior fellow in the Russia and Eurasia Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, where he focuses on the Russian military, Ukrainian armed forces, and Eurasian security issues. Prior to joining Carnegie in 2023, he served as director of the Russia Studies Program at the Center for Naval Analyses, where he led a team conducting research on the capabilities, strategy, and military thought of the Russian Armed Forces. Widely recognized as one of the leading authorities on the Russian military, and the Russo-Ukrainian war, Kofman has led foundational work in the field, and is routinely cited in major publications.
Michael Kofman is a senior fellow in the Russia and Eurasia Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, where he focuses on the Russian military, Ukrainian armed forces, and Eurasian security issues. Prior to joining Carnegie in 2023, he served as director of the Russia Studies Program at the Center for Naval Analyses, where he led a team conducting research on the capabilities, strategy, and military thought of the Russian Armed Forces. Widely recognized as one of the leading authorities on the Russian military, and the Russo-Ukrainian war, Kofman has led foundational work in the field, and is routinely cited in major publications.
==== Eugene Rumer ====
==== Eugene Rumer ====
[[File:Photo_Eugene_Rumer.jpg|thumb|200px|Eugene Rumer]]
[[File:Photo_Eugene_Rumer.jpg|thumb|200px|Eugene Rumer]]
'''Title:''' Director and Senior Fellow, Russia and Eurasia Program
'''Title:''' Director and Senior Fellow
'''Affiliation:''' Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
'''Affiliation:''' Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Eugene Rumer is a senior fellow and the director of Carnegie's Russia and Eurasia Program. Prior to joining Carnegie, Rumer was the national intelligence officer for Russia and Eurasia at the U.S. National Intelligence Council from 2010 to 2014. Earlier, he held research appointments at the National Defense University, the International Institute for Strategic Studies, and the RAND Corporation, and served at the State Department and on the National Security Council staff.
Eugene Rumer is a senior fellow and the director of Carnegie's Russia and Eurasia Program. Prior to joining Carnegie, Rumer was the national intelligence officer for Russia and Eurasia at the U.S. National Intelligence Council from 2010 to 2014. Earlier, he held research appointments at the National Defense University, the International Institute for Strategic Studies, and the RAND Corporation, and served at the State Department and on the National Security Council staff.
==== Dara Massicot ====
==== Dara Massicot ====
[[File:Photo_Dara_Massicot.jpg|thumb|200px|Dara Massicot]]
[[File:Photo_Dara_Massicot.jpg|thumb|200px|Dara Massicot]]
'''Title:''' Senior Fellow, Russia and Eurasia Program
'''Title:''' Senior Fellow
'''Affiliation:''' Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
'''Affiliation:''' Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Dara Massicot is a senior fellow in the Russia and Eurasia Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Her work focuses on defense and security issues in Russia and Eurasia. Prior to joining Carnegie, Massicot was a senior policy researcher at the RAND Corporation and senior analyst for Russian military capabilities at the Department of Defense. She has published extensively on Russian military capabilities, modernization efforts, and strategy, and is a preeminent expert on the Russo-Ukrainian War. She holds an M.A. in National Security and Strategic Studies from the U.S. Naval War College, and B.A.s in Russian Language and Literature and Peace, War, and Defense from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.
Dara Massicot is a senior fellow in the Russia and Eurasia Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Her work focuses on defense and security issues in Russia and Eurasia. Prior to joining Carnegie, Massicot was a senior policy researcher at the RAND Corporation and senior analyst for Russian military capabilities at the Department of Defense. She has published extensively on Russian military capabilities, modernization efforts, and strategy, and is a preeminent expert on the Russo-Ukrainian War. She holds an M.A. in National Security and Strategic Studies from the U.S. Naval War College, and B.A.s in Russian Language and Literature and Peace, War, and Defense from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.

Revision as of 13:42, 11 August 2025

Date: June 11th, 2025 at 15:00 CET / 09:00 EDT Platform: Cisco Webex Events

[Recording Link] Recording Password: pSF5Ta4G

Details

Michael Kofman, Eugene Rumer, and Dara Massicot will present their latest research and discuss the main developments concerning Russian future force design, global posture, and the Russian military as a learning organization.

Presentation Areas

Eugene Rumer: The transformed map of Russia’s new global posture, the durability of the drivers underlying it, and implications for U.S. interests - Starts at minute 0 Dara Massicot: How lessons are identified and implemented within the Russian military and its supporting defense ecosystem, and how that learning will shape the Russian military - Starts at minute 22 Michael Kofman: Russian force design following the Russia-Ukraine war - Starts at minute 41 Questions and Answers: Starts at minute 104

Biography

Michael Kofman

File:Photo Michael Kofman.jpg
Michael Kofman

Title: Senior Fellow Affiliation: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Michael Kofman is a senior fellow in the Russia and Eurasia Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, where he focuses on the Russian military, Ukrainian armed forces, and Eurasian security issues. Prior to joining Carnegie in 2023, he served as director of the Russia Studies Program at the Center for Naval Analyses, where he led a team conducting research on the capabilities, strategy, and military thought of the Russian Armed Forces. Widely recognized as one of the leading authorities on the Russian military, and the Russo-Ukrainian war, Kofman has led foundational work in the field, and is routinely cited in major publications.

Eugene Rumer

File:Photo Eugene Rumer.jpg
Eugene Rumer

Title: Director and Senior Fellow Affiliation: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Eugene Rumer is a senior fellow and the director of Carnegie's Russia and Eurasia Program. Prior to joining Carnegie, Rumer was the national intelligence officer for Russia and Eurasia at the U.S. National Intelligence Council from 2010 to 2014. Earlier, he held research appointments at the National Defense University, the International Institute for Strategic Studies, and the RAND Corporation, and served at the State Department and on the National Security Council staff.

Dara Massicot

File:Photo Dara Massicot.jpg
Dara Massicot

Title: Senior Fellow Affiliation: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Dara Massicot is a senior fellow in the Russia and Eurasia Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Her work focuses on defense and security issues in Russia and Eurasia. Prior to joining Carnegie, Massicot was a senior policy researcher at the RAND Corporation and senior analyst for Russian military capabilities at the Department of Defense. She has published extensively on Russian military capabilities, modernization efforts, and strategy, and is a preeminent expert on the Russo-Ukrainian War. She holds an M.A. in National Security and Strategic Studies from the U.S. Naval War College, and B.A.s in Russian Language and Literature and Peace, War, and Defense from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.

Additional Resources

Research Paper: Russia's Global Posture: The More it Changes, The More it Remains the Same by Eugene Rumer Research Paper: The Russian Military as a Learning Organization by Dara Massicot Research Paper: Back To the Future: The Evolution of Russian Force Design by Michael Kofman Current Calendar All RSI Research