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<strong> Project Connect: Roger McDermott-Escalation Management à la Russe </strong>
'''Date:''' February 6th, 2025 at 15:00 CET / 09:00 EDT 
'''Platform:''' Cisco Webex Events 


February 06 at 15:00 CET/09:00 EDT
=== Link to Video Recording === 
[https://eucom.webex.com/eucom/ldr.php?RCID=96c67dad935adaf8b30a93ad6d276d51 Link to Video Recording] 
'''Recording Password:''' UnCiDcm2 


Details:
=== Details === 
Dr. Roger McDermott will present ''Escalation Management à la Russe: The Kremlin’s Threat Assessment, Forecasting, and Conflict Control Tools.'' His latest research explores Moscow’s approach to assessing, managing, and mitigating escalatory scenarios in geopolitical and military contexts. 


Dr. Roger McDermott will present Escalation Management à la Russe: The Kremlin’s Threat Assessment, Forecasting, and Conflict Control Tools.  His latest research explores Moscow’s approach to assessing, managing, and mitigating escalatory scenarios in geopolitical and military contexts. It examines the Military-Political Situation (VPO) system, a sophisticated tool for categorizing threats across phases from calm to war, emphasizing its integration with the National Defense Management Center (NTsUO) for centralized decision-making. The lecture highlights the role of advanced analytical tools, such as Bayesian networks and simulation modeling, in refining threat assessments. It also examines the principles of edinonachaliye (unity of command) and vzaimodeistvie (inter-agency interaction), which underpin Moscow’s emphasis on centralized control and hierarchical coherence. Finally, the lecture addresses the challenges of over-centralization and rigidity, offering insights into adaptations like digital documentation systems to enhance flexibility in dynamic conflict environments
The presentation examines the Military-Political Situation (VPO) system, a sophisticated tool for categorizing threats across phases from calm to war, emphasizing its integration with the National Defense Management Center (NTsUO) for centralized decision-making. It highlights the role of advanced analytical tools, such as Bayesian networks and simulation modeling, in refining threat assessments.


== Roger McDermott ==
Additionally, the lecture explores the principles of ''edinonachaliye'' (unity of command) and ''vzaimodeistvie'' (inter-agency interaction), which underpin Moscow’s emphasis on centralized control and hierarchical coherence. Finally, it addresses the challenges of over-centralization and rigidity, offering insights into adaptations like digital documentation systems to enhance flexibility in dynamic conflict environments. 


[photo]
=== Biography === 


Roger McDermott
==== Roger McDermott ==== 
Visiting Senior Research Fellow
[[File:Photo_Roger_McDermott.jpg|thumb|200px|Roger McDermott]] 
Department of War Studies-Kings College London
'''Title:''' Visiting Senior Research Fellow
'''Affiliation:''' Department of War Studies, King’s College London


Roger N McDermott is a graduate of the University of Oxford in Modern History and a leading authority on the Russian military. He is Visiting Senior Research Fellow, Department of War Studies, King’s College, London; Research Associate, Institute of Middle East, Central Asia and Caucasus Studies (MECACS), University of St. Andrews, Scotland and a guest lecturer on Russian military strategy, Führungsakademie der Bundeswehr in Hamburg, Germany. McDermott is an Associate Fellow of the Royal Historical Society and a member of the British Commission for Military History.
Roger N. McDermott is a graduate of the University of Oxford in Modern History and a leading authority on the Russian military. He is Visiting Senior Research Fellow, Department of War Studies, King’s College, London; Research Associate, Institute of Middle East, Central Asia and Caucasus Studies (MECACS), University of St. Andrews, Scotland; and a guest lecturer on Russian military strategy at Führungsakademie der Bundeswehr in Hamburg, Germany.


His book publications includes: The Reform of Russia’s Conventional Armed Forces: Problems, Challenges and Policy Issues, Jamestown Foundation, Washington, DC, 2011. His most recent book is Russia’s Path to the High-Tech Battlespace, Lynne Rienner Publishers, 2022
McDermott is an Associate Fellow of the Royal Historical Society and a member of the British Commission for Military History. His book publications include ''The Reform of Russia’s Conventional Armed Forces: Problems, Challenges and Policy Issues,'' Jamestown Foundation, Washington, DC, 2011. His most recent book is ''Russia’s Path to the High-Tech Battlespace,'' Lynne Rienner Publishers, 2022
 
=== Additional Resources === 
* '''[[Main Page#Calendar|Current Calendar]]''' 
* '''[[RSI Research|All RSI Research]]'''

Latest revision as of 13:58, 11 August 2025

Date: February 6th, 2025 at 15:00 CET / 09:00 EDT Platform: Cisco Webex Events

Link to Video Recording Recording Password: UnCiDcm2

Details

Dr. Roger McDermott will present Escalation Management à la Russe: The Kremlin’s Threat Assessment, Forecasting, and Conflict Control Tools. His latest research explores Moscow’s approach to assessing, managing, and mitigating escalatory scenarios in geopolitical and military contexts.

The presentation examines the Military-Political Situation (VPO) system, a sophisticated tool for categorizing threats across phases from calm to war, emphasizing its integration with the National Defense Management Center (NTsUO) for centralized decision-making. It highlights the role of advanced analytical tools, such as Bayesian networks and simulation modeling, in refining threat assessments.

Additionally, the lecture explores the principles of edinonachaliye (unity of command) and vzaimodeistvie (inter-agency interaction), which underpin Moscow’s emphasis on centralized control and hierarchical coherence. Finally, it addresses the challenges of over-centralization and rigidity, offering insights into adaptations like digital documentation systems to enhance flexibility in dynamic conflict environments.

Biography

Roger McDermott

File:Photo Roger McDermott.jpg
Roger McDermott

Title: Visiting Senior Research Fellow Affiliation: Department of War Studies, King’s College London

Roger N. McDermott is a graduate of the University of Oxford in Modern History and a leading authority on the Russian military. He is Visiting Senior Research Fellow, Department of War Studies, King’s College, London; Research Associate, Institute of Middle East, Central Asia and Caucasus Studies (MECACS), University of St. Andrews, Scotland; and a guest lecturer on Russian military strategy at Führungsakademie der Bundeswehr in Hamburg, Germany.

McDermott is an Associate Fellow of the Royal Historical Society and a member of the British Commission for Military History. His book publications include The Reform of Russia’s Conventional Armed Forces: Problems, Challenges and Policy Issues, Jamestown Foundation, Washington, DC, 2011. His most recent book is Russia’s Path to the High-Tech Battlespace, Lynne Rienner Publishers, 2022.

Additional Resources