RSI Research

RSI sponsored research is aimed at filling DoD knowledge gaps concerning the Russia Problem Set. The RSI-Russia Strategic Initiative (RSI) staff at HQ USEUCOM sponsors classified and unclassified research by academic institutions and Federally Funded Research and Development Centers (FFRDCs) in support of RSI's effort to build a common understanding of Russian strategic decision-making, way of war, and critical vulnerabilities across the DoD. RSI's research program is intended to complement the Intelligence Community's National Intelligence Priority Framework (NIPF) and drive DoD-wide research and analysis on the Russian Problem Set in accordance with the National Defense Strategy (NDS) and Global Campaign Plan Russia (GCP-R).

RSI's research identifies priority knowledge areas (related to DoD knowledge gaps), which are further organized into subordinate research topics/questions. Each knowledge area, including subordinate research topics and questions, are reviewed, prioritized, and approved for funding by the RSI Director semi-annually at the RSI Directors Committee (RDC). The RSI Director may authorize ad hoc adjustments to the research topics and prioritization to reflect changes in world events and policy priorities.

RSI Research

New RSI Field Guide 2025

• RSI 2025 Field Guide August 24 (RSI)

New Research 2025

• Political Manoeuvres, Asset Expropriation and Nepotism - Russia Looks Inward for Answers June 2025 (RUSI: Emily Ferris)
• An Organization Ill-suited to an Unforeseen War: Russian Command and Control in the War in Ukraine June 2025 (Dimitri Minic)
• Military Citizenship and Force Reconstitution in Russia June 2025 (Charles Walker, Bettina Renz)
• Russia’s Information Confrontation Doctrine in Practice (2014–Present): Intent, Evolution and Implications June 2025 (IISS: Julia Voo, Virpratap Vikram Singh)
• Putin's Media on the North American Arctic: Distorted Reality June 2025 (Macdonald-Laurier Institute: Alexander Dalziel)
• Northern Promises June 2025 (Macdonald-Laurier Institute: John Kayne)
• The Russian Military Innovation System and the War in Ukraine June 2025 (Oscar Jonsson)
• The Evolution of Russian Nuclear Doctrine June 2025 (RUSI: Sidharth Kaushal)
• The Anatomy of the Russian Military Innovation System June 2025 (Oscar Jonsson)
• Putin’s New Frontier: The Prospects and Limitations of Africa Corps June 2025 (Middlebury Institute of International Studies: Hanna Notte)
• The Pendulum Swings Back: Envisioning the Future Trajectory of an Increasingly Asymmetric Iran-Russia Defense Relationship June 2025 (Middlebury Institute of International Studies: Jim Lamson, Hanna Notte)
• Russia’s struggle to modernize its military industry June 2025 (Chatham House: Mathieu Boulègue)
• Understanding Russia’s Black Sea Strategy June 2025 (Chatham House: Natalie Sabanadze, Galip Dalay)
• Partners in War: Assessing the Full Range of Possible Russian Roles in a PRC Conflict June 2025 (CSBA: Katherine E. Dahlstrand)
• The Russian Defense Industrial Base and Implications for Future Force Structure Decisions June 2025 (CSBA: Katherine E. Dahlstrand, Casey Nicastro)
• Partners or Rivals? Areas of Convergence and Divergence of Interests in the Indo-Pacific June 2025 (FPRI: Alexander Korolev, Thomas J. Shattuck)
• Back To the Future: The Evolution of Russian Force Design June 2025 (CEIP: Michael Kofman)
• The Russian Military as a Learning Organization June 2025 (CEIP: Dara Massicot)
• Russia’s Global Posture: The More it Changes, The More it Remains the Same June 2025 (CEIP: Eugene Rumer)
• The Dogs of War: Function and Dysfunction in Russia’s Military Elite June 2025 (CEPA: Pavel Luzin, Alexander Kolyandr, Mathieu Boulègue, Diana Manucharian, Samuel Greene)
• Assessing the Risk of Russian Opportunistic Aggression in Europe June 2025 (CNAS: Andrea Kendall-Taylor, Jim Townsend, Kate Johnston, Greg Weaver)
• The Future of Military Deception Operations and Lessons from Ukraine June 2025 (Mick Ryan, Peter W. Singer)
• The Future of Deception in War: Lessons from Ukraine June 2025 (Mick Ryan, Peter W. Singer)
• Key developments in Russia’s defence economy in 2024 Policy Brief June 2025 (Eastern Advisory Group: Richard Connolly)
• Russia’s Use of Neurowarfare June 2025 (Yorktown Institute: Grant Turner, Axel de Vernou)
• The Axis of Upheaval May 2025 (CNAS: Andrea Kendall-Taylor, Nicholas Lokker)
• Russia’s Intentions and Actions in the Black Sea May 2025 (TLN: Daniel Hamilton, Angela Stent)
• Alternative Force Structure Options of the Russian Military May 2025 (CSBA: Katherine Dahlstrand, Casey Nicastro, Lilly Doninger)
• Sino-Russian Interactions Regarding Central Asia May 2025 (Hudson Institute: Richard Weitz)
• What are the Key Russian State Systemic Weaknesses in 2027 May 2025 (AM Leadmark: Andrew Monaghan)
• Russia-India Relationship: Multipolarity in Practice? May 2025 (CNA: Dmitry Gorenburg, Jeff Edmonds, Julian Waller, Jeff Kucik, Decker Eveleth)
• Russian Concepts of Future Warfare Based on Lessons from the Ukraine War May 2025 (CNA: Michael Petersen, Paul Schwartz, Gabriela Iveliz Rosa-Hernandez)
• Russia’s Use of the Instruments of Statecraft in the Indo-Pacific May 2025 (FPRI: Alexander Korolev)
• Strategic Transformations: Assessing The Role And Evolution of Russian Special Operations and Land Forces in Shifting Global Security Paradigm May 2025 (New Strategy Center: Emil Beleagă, Vakhtang Kapanadze)
• Moldova in the Face of Russia's Geopolitical Ambitions May 2025 (New Strategy Center: George Scutaru and Ion Cristea)
• Polar Power: The Northern Sea Route In Russia's Strategic Calculus May 2025 2025 (Macdonald-Laurier Institute: Alexander Dalziel)
• The Russian Wartime Economy May 2025 (CSIS:Maria Snegovaya, Nicholas Fenton, Tina Dolbaia, Max Bergmann)
• Quartet of Learning: The Russian-Iranian Learning Community in the Matter of Precision Warfare and Its Implication for China and the DPRK May 2025 (Strategic Consultancy: Dima Adamsky)
• A Hyper-Militarized Economy? Policy Brief May 2025 (Eastern Advisory Group: Richard Connolly)
• A Hyper-Militarized Economy? The Growth of the Military Economy Since 2022 May 2025 (Eastern Advisory Group: Richard Connolly)
• Russia's Low Intensity Warfare in the Arctic April 2025 April 2025 (Wilson Center Polar Institute: Mathieu Boulegue)
• How Does Moscow See the World Through 2030 and Beyond? April 2025 (AM Leadmark: Andrew Monaghan)
• From Legacy to Modernity: Assessing Russia's Military Transformation in the New Era of Warfare April 2025 (New Strategy Center: Mykhailo Samus)
• How Does The World Look to Moscow in 2025? April 2025 (AM Leadmark: Andrew Monaghan)
• Frozen Assets: Russia's Ambitions to Exploit the Arctic Ocean Seabed April 2025 (Macdonald-Laurier Institute: Alexander Dalziel)
• Sino-Russian Interactions Regarding the Shanghai Cooperation Organization April 2025 (Hudson Institute: Richard Weitz)
• What is Russia Missing? April 2025 (RUSI: Emily Ferris)
• Russia And The Red Sea Since 2022 April 2025 (Ivan Klyszcz)
• The Use of Language and Culture To Interpret Russian Strengths and Weakness In 2027 March 2025 (AM Leadmark: Annamaria Kiss and Andrew Monaghan)
• Interpreting Russian Data- Using Russian State Statistics To Measure Defence Spending March 2025 (AM Leadmark: Richard Connolly)
• What Are the Implication of AI For Analyzing Russia in 2027 March 2025 (AM Leadmark: R.M. Dover)
• The Future of Russian Future War Thinking: Strategy and Technology March 2025 (Phronesis Analysis: Oscar Jonsson)
• Russia-China-North Korea Relation: Obstacles To A Trilateral Axis March 2025
• How Do The Russian Authorities Re-Deploy Security Forces in Response to Internal Conflicts And Protests March 2025 (Jade McGlynn)
• Long Report on Domestic Capacity of the Russian Defense Industry and Relations with Foreign Countries March 2025 (Christopher Davis)
• Rivalry Avoided Again February 2025 (Marcin Kaczmarski)
• Beyond China How Moscow Engages The Global South February 2025 (Politika Research Center: Marlene Laruelle and Ivan Grek)
• The Future of Russian Future War Thinking February 25 (Phronesis Analysis: Oscar Jonsson)
• Kyrgyzstan between Russia and China February 25 (Marcin Kaczmarski)
• Tajikistan between Russia and China February 25 (Marcin Kaczmarski)
• Kazakhstan between Russia and China February 25 (Marcin Kaczmarski)
• Turkmenistan between Russia and China February 25 (Marcin Kaczmarski)
• Uzbekistan between Russia and China February 25 (Marcin Kaczmarski)
• Reconstitution of the Russian Deterrence Theory and Posture February 25 (Strategic Consultancy: Dima Adamsky)
• Key Choices Facing the Russian Defense Industry February 25 (CSBA: Katherine E. Dahlstrand)
• China’s Use of the Instruments of Power January 25 (FPRI: Robert Hamilton and Christopher Primiano)
• Sino-Russian Interaction Regarding Uzbekistan January 25 (Hudson Institute: Richard Weitz)
• Escalation Management a' la Russe: The Kremlin's Threat Assessment, Forecasting and Conflict Tool January 25 (Roger McDermott)
• Sino-Russian Interaction Regarding Kazakhstan December 24 (Hudson Institute: Richard Weitz)
• Russia's New Global Activism December 24 (CNA: Michael Petersen and Garbriela Iveliz Rosa Hernandez)
• Shaping the Debate: The Evolution of Russian Military Thought Since 2022 December 24 (Tracey German)
• The Ghost of Gareev December 24 (AM Leadmark: Andrew Monaghan and Richard Connolly)
• Russian Strategic Thought Since 2022: State and Prospects December (Dimitri Minic)
• Russia's Strategy and Military Thinking Evolving Discourse by 2025 December 24 (CEPA: Pavel Luzin and Evgeny Roshchin)
• Setting the Stage: China and Russia in the Indo-Pacific December 24 (FPRI: Robert Hamilton)
• Analysis of Russia's Cyber and Influence Activities Doctrine and Capabilities December 24 (Bilyana Lily)
• The Main Operations Directorate of the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces in the War Against Ukraine (2022-2024) November 24 (Russian Military Studies Office: Steven Main)
• Russia Information Confrontation Doctrine in Practice October 24 (IISS: Julia Voo)

Russia's Global Geography

• Russia's New Global Activism April 24 (CEIP: Eugene Rumer)
• Russia's Changing Relationships With Countries Around The World April 24 (CNAS: Andrea Kendall-Taylor)
• Russia's Growing Coalition with China, Iran, and North Korea April 24 (CSIS: Seth G. Jones and Daniel Byman)
• The Changing Nature of Russia's Relationship With Countries Around the World April 24 (Chatham House)

• Russia and the Rest (TLN): Nine Strategic Dialogues between Russia and the Rest (18 Papers-2 per country)
• India
  • India 1
  • India 2
• Japan
  • Japan 1
  • Japan 2
• Korea
  • Korea 1
  • Korea 2
• Brazil
  • Brazil 1
  • Brazil 2
• Israel
  • Israel 1
  • Israel 2
• Turkey
  • Turkey 1
  • Turkey 2
• Mexico
  • Mexico 1
  • Mexico 2
• South Africa
  • South Africa 1
  • South Africa 2
• Indonesia
  • Indonesia 1
  • Indonesia 2

• Dangerous Decline: Russia's Military and Security Influence in the Global South and the Implications for the United States Sep 23 (Middlebury Institute of International Studies: Hannah Notte)
• Russia and the Rest: Nine Dialogues with Key U.S. Partners Sep 23 (TLN: Daniel Hamilton and Angela Stent)
• Losing Ground: Russia and Its Neighbors in Times of War Aug 23 (Carnegie: Eugene Rumer)
• Turkey Balancing Act and Future of Russia Turkey Jun 23 (German Marshall Fund)
• Russian Foreign Policymaking in Africa May 23 (RUSI: Emily Ferris and Christopher Hockey)
• Russia Progresses in Africa. What's the Limit? Jun 23 (CSIS: Mathieu Droin; Tina Dolbaia)

Arctic/Antarctic

• Arctic LNG-Fluxys and Other Potential Chokepoints July 24 (Dekleptocracy:Kristofer Harrison)
• The Impact of the War Against Ukraine on Russia's Artic Posture: Hard Power on Vulnerable June 24 (Wilson Center-Polar Institute: Mathieu Boulegue)
• A New Era of Arctic Geopolitics June 24 (German Marshall Fund: Heather A. Conley, Sophia Arts, Kristine Berzina, Bonnie S. Glaser, and Jaine Archambeau)
• Eroding Russian Sovereignty in the Arctic: Understanding the Strategic Implications of the Sino-Russian Partnership Along the Northern Sea Route May 24 (German Marshall Fund: Heather A. Conley, Sophia Arts, Kristine Berzina, Bonnie S. Glaser, and Jaine Archambeau)
• From Reluctance to Greater Alignment April 24 (German Marshall Fund: Heather A. Conley, Sophie Arts, Bonnie S. Glaser and Kristine Berzina)
• Not Polar Opposites April 24 (German Marshall Fund: Heather A. Conley, Sophie Arts, Kristine Berzina, and Bonnie S. Glaser)
• Countering Russia's Hybrid Threats in the Arctic Aug 23 (ELN: Katerina Kertysova, Gabriella Gricius)
• Antarctica Russia's Data Information Wars on the Final Frontier Aug 22 (RUSI: Emily Ferris)
• Assessing the impact of Russia's war against Ukraine on Arctic security and military affairs Workshop Summary Aug 22 (Chatham House)
• Russia in the Arctic: Gauging How Russia's Invasion of Ukraine Will Alter Regional Dynamics July 22 (CNAS: Andrea Kendall-Taylor, Jim Townsend, Nicholas Lokker, Heli Hautala, James Frey)
• The Militarization of Russian Polar Politics Jun 22 (Chatham House: Mathieu Boulegue)
• Strengthening Russia's Nuclear Forces in the Arctic: The Case of the Kinzhal missile Sep 21 (CSIS: Jyri Lavikainen)
• Russia's Climate Gamble: The Pursuit and Contradiction of Its Arctic Ambitions Sep 21 (CSIS: Heather Conley, Cyrus Newlin, Colin Wall, Andrew Lohsen)
• Russia in the Arctic: A Critical Examination Mar 21 (Carnegie: Eugene Rumer, Richard Sokolosky, Paul Stronski)
• Russia in the Arctic: A Critical Examination Feb 21 (Carnegie: Eugene Rumer, Richard Sokolosky, Paul Stronski)
• Russian Operations in the Competitive Space and Arctic Dec 20 (Alion)
• Polar Power: Russian Energy and Globally Integrated Operations Aug 20 (Russian Research Network: Nazrin Mehdiyeva, Andrew Monaghan)
• Russia's Military Posture in the Arctic: Drivers and Outlook Aug 20 (FPRI)
• Shifts in Russian Military Build-Up in the Arctic Driven by Interactions with China Jun 19 (George C. Marshall Center: Pavel Baev)
• Russian Strategic Guidelines and Threat Assessments for the Arctic Apr 19 (George C. Marshall Center: Pavel Baev)

Balkans

• Russia in the Balkans After Ukraine: A Troubling Actor Aug 22 (Carnegie: Paul Stronski)
• Russia in the Balkans Sep 21 (Carnegie: Paul Stronski, Aleksander Aladicic)

Baltics

• Sea Change: Nordic-Baltic Security in a New Era Aug 23 (CEPA: Edward Lucas, Catherine Sendak, Charlotta Collen, Jan Kallberg, and Krista Viksnins)
• Civilian-Based Resistance in the Baltic States: Historical Precedents and Current Capabilities Aug 20 (RAND: Anika Ninnendijk, Marta Kepe)
• The Baltic States as Threats and Levers: The Role of the Region in Russian Strategy Apr 19 (George C. Marshall Center: Mark Galeotti)
• Russian Strategic Culture in a Baltic Crisis Mar 19 (George C. Marshall Center: Dmitry Gorenburg)

Belarus

• The Belarusian Tyl: The Foundation of the Russian Armed Forces, but its Critical Vulnerability Jun 22 (RUSI: Emily Ferris)
• Belarus: Russia's Client State Apr 22 (RUSI)
• The Role of Belarus in Russian Defense Production Sep 20 (FPRI)
• Russian Defense Industry Analysis No. 8: Defense-Industrial Relations with Belarus Aug 20 (EAG: Richard Connolly, David Fields)

Black Sea

• Black Sea Security After Russia's Aggression Against Ukraine Jul 23 (FPRI: Stephen Blank)
• Grain Security and the Black Sea: An Unforeseen Consequence of Russia's Aggression Against Ukraine Jul 23 (FPRI: Stephen Blank)
• The Black Sea and European Energy: The Impact of Russia’s Aggression Against Ukraine Jan 23 (Stephen Blank)
• The Black Sea and Beyond: An Initial Assessment of Russian Naval Strategy and Operations in the War Against Ukraine Jan 23 (Stephen Blank)
• Russia in the Black Sea: Aspiring Hegemon or Declining Power? Sep 22 (RUSI: Samuel Ramani)
• NATO's Corner-Russia's Strategic Perspective on the Southwestern Flank of the Black Sea Sep 22 (Rimland Strategies Group)
• The Emerging Drivers of Insecurity and the Escalation Potential in the Black Sea Region: Development in the South Caucasus Jul 22 (RUSI: Neil Melvin)
• Euxine Ursa: A Red Team Exercise Sep 21 (CENTRA) Analysis of five vignettes related to Russian decision-making and strategic interests in the Black Sea
• Russia's "Hybrid Aggression" Against Georgia: The Use of Local and External Tools Sep 21 (CSIS: Natia Seskuria)
• Russian Strategic Objectives in the Black Sea Apr 21 (Carnegie: Paul Stronski)
• New Perspectives on the Black Sea Theater in Russian Strategic Culture Sep 19 (George C. Marshall Center: Pavel Baev)
• Strategic Culture and Geography: Russia's Southern Seas after Crimea Jul 19 (George C. Marshall Center: David Lewis)
• Russia, NATO, and Black Sea Security Strategy Aug 19 (RAND)

Central Asia/Afghanistan

• Impact of the War in Ukraine on Russia-China Power Dynamics in Central Asia June 24 (RISS: Natia Seskuria, Tatia Chikhladze and Jefferey Hawn)
• Russia and China In Central Asia: Cooperate, Compete, or Deconflict June 24 (CNAS: Andrea Kendall-Taylor, Lisa Curtis, Kate Johnston and Nathaniel Schochet)
• Unpacking China’s Growing Ambitions in Central Asia April 24 (RISS)
• China's Role in Central Asia Since the Beginning of the War in Ukraine April 24 (Regional Institute Strategic Studies: Tatia Chikhladze and Jeffrey Hawn)
• Russia and China In Central Asia April 24 (FPRI: Bruce Pannier)
• The Impact of the War in Ukraine on Russia's Positions in Central Asia February 24 (Regional Institute Strategic Studies: Natia Seskuria)
• Russia's Policy Toward Afghanistan Jun 23 (Richard Weitz)
• Dynamic Shifts in Central Asia as U.S. Withdraws from Afghanistan Aug 21 (Carnegie: Paul Stronski)

Indo-Pacific

• Taiwan and the Limits of the Russia China Friendship June 24 (CEIP: Eugene Rumer)
• Collaboration For A Price Russian Military-Technical Cooperation April 24 (CSIS: Max Bergmann, Maria Snegovaya, Tina Dolbaia, and Nick Fenton)
• Russia's Growing Coalition with China, Iran, and North Korea April 24 (CSIS: Seth G. Jones and Daniel Byman)
• Russia's Economic Pivot to Asia in a Shifting Regional Environment Sep 21 (RUSI: Richard Connolly)
• Russia Navigating the New Dynamics of Indo-Pacific Security Sep 21 (RUSI: Neil Melvin)
• Russia and the Indo-Pacific Security Concept May 21 (RUSI: Neil Melvin)
• Problems of Geography: Military and Economic Transport Logistics in Russia's Far East Oct 20 (RUSI: Emily Ferris)

Latin America

• The Impact of Russia's Ukraine War on Russo-LAC Relations April 24 (CSIS)
• Russia's Quest for Global Influence-Latin America May 21 (Chatham House)

Mediterranean / Europe

• Spoiler, Disruptor; and Instigator-How Russia's Security Approach to Moldova is Changing Jun 23 (RUSI)
• Transdniestria, Moldova and Russia's War in Ukraine Jul 22 (Carnegie: Philip Remler)
• What Does Europe Look Like 3-7 Years after the Ukraine Crisis? Mar 22 (CEPA: Alina Polyakova, Edaward Lucas, Bobo Lo, James Lamond, Lauren Speranza)
• Are Current Russian Expeditionary Capabilities Capable of a Coup de Main in Sweden? Sep 21 (CSIS Suzanne Feeman)
• Russia in the Mediterranean: Here to Stay Jun 21 (Carnegie: Eugene Rumer, Richard Sokolsky)
• At the Vanguard: European Contributions to NATO's Future Combat Airpower Oct 20 (RAND)
• Russia and Europe: Stuck on Autopilot Sep 20 (Carnegie: Andrew Weiss)
• Living in Different Worlds: The European Union and Russian Political War Sep 19 (George C. Marshall Center: Mark Galeotti)
• Russia's Naval Strategy in the Mediterranean Jul 19 (George C. Marshall Center: Dmitry Gorenburg)
• Russian Strategic Decision-Making in a Nordic Crisis Jul 19 (George C. Marshall Center: Dmitry Gorenburg)

Middle East / North Africa

• Key Trends In Russia's Middle East Strategy Following the Invasion of Ukraine July 24 (Derek and David Averre)
• The Russia-Iranian Learning Community in the Matter of Precision Warfare Drivers, Content, and Implications July 24 (Strategic Consultancy: Dima Adamsky)
• The Evolving Russia-Iran Relationship July 24 (CNA)
• Iran-Russia Defense Cooperation: Current Realities and Future Horizons June 24 (Middlebury College: Hanna Notte and Jim Lamson)
• Russia's Growing Coalition with China, Iran, and North Korea April 24 (CSIS: Seth G. Jones and Daniel Byman)
• Summary of Keynote Speech RSI Workshop Russia-MENA Feb 24 (Middlebury College: Hanna Notte)
• This Time its Personal: Russia's Foreign Policymaking in the Middle East Mar 23 (RUSI)
• Russia Saudi Arabia, and the Gulf Arabs: Strictly Businessl Sep 22 (Carnegie: Andrew Weiss, Jasmine Alexander-Greene)
• Russia's Growing Ambitions in the Red Sea Region Sep 21 (RUSI: Samuel Ramani)
• Reassessing Russian Capabilities in the Levant and North Africa Aug 21 (Carnegie: Frederic Wehrey Andrew Weiss)
• Russia's Use of Private Military Contractors in Libya Jul 20 (FPRI)
• Russian Defense Industry Analysis No. 3: Russia's Oil Price War Gambit, Putin Signs New Arctic Strategy, State Defense Policy, Aerospace Systems, Naval Systems, Ground Forces Systems, Arms Exports Mar 20 (EAG: Richard Connolly. David Fields)
• Russian Lessons from the Syrian Operation and the Culture of Military Innovation Feb 20 (George C. Marshall Center: Dima Adamsky)
• Continuity in Russian Strategic Culture: A Case Study of Moscow's Syrian Campaign Feb 20 (George C. Marshall Center: Dima Adamsky)
• The impacts of the Syrian Intervention on Russian Strategic Culture Jun 19 (George C. Marshall Center: Pavel Baev)

South Asia

• Russia and India: A New Chapter Sep 22 (Carnegie: Rajan Menon, Eugene Rumer)

South Caucasus

• Russian Security at a Crossroads in the South Caucasus June 24 (RUSI)
• Regional Perspectives on Russia’s Evolving South Caucasus Policy April 24 (RUSI)
• The Emerging Drivers of Insecurity and the Escalation Potential in the Black Sea Region: Developments in the South Caucasus July 22 (RUSI: Neil Melvin)
• Summary of RSI-Chatham House research workshop 27 April 2022 Russia's Endgame in the South Caucasus Apr 22 (Chatham House)
• Russian Defense Industry Analysis No. 9: Lessons Learnt from the Nagorno-Karbakh War, State Policy, Aerospace Forces, Naval Forces, Ground Forces, Strategic Forces, Arms Exports Jan 21 (EAG: Richard Connolly)

Sub-Saharan Africa

• Russia's Virtual Private Network in Central America Jun 21 (Carnegie: Paul Stronski, Andrew Weiss)
• Russia's Security Aspirations and Strategy in the Sahel Sep 20 (FPRI)
• Trends in Russian Arms Exports to Sub-Saharan Africa May 20 (FPRI)
• Private Military Contractors in Sub-Saharan Africa May 20 (FPRI)

Ukraine

• The Russian Military Medicine Experience in Ukraine July 24 (CNA: Gabriela Iveliz Rosa-Hernandez)
• Russian Military Mobilization During the Ukraine War July 24 (CNA: Paul Schwartz and Dmitry Gorenburg)
• Conference Proceedings: Economic Aspects of the War in Ukraine 2022-2024 April 24 (Christopher Mark Davis)
• Change and Continuity in Russian Decision-Making and Governance Since the Full-Scale Invasion of Ukraine Sep 23 (Noble Analysis: Ben Noble)
• Russia's Invasion of Ukraine and its Military Modernisation Programme Sep 23 (IISS: James Hackett, Douglas Barrie, Nick Childs)
• In the Shadow of Ukraine: Russian Concepts of Future War and Force Design Sep 23 (CSIS: Seth Jones)
• Churches as Battlegrounds in Ukraine Oct 22 (Kathryn David)
• What Are Russia's Red Lines in Ukraine? Sep 22 (Mayak Intelligence: Mark Galeotti)
• How Does the War in Ukraine End? Sep 22 (Hanna Smith)
• The Economic Dimension of a Russian Military Campaign in Ukraine Dec 21 (EAG: Richard Connolly)
• Turkey's Likely Response to the Russia-Ukraine Crisis Dec 21 (Aaron Stein)
• Putin's Ukraine Obsession: Never Enough Nov 21 (Carnegie: Eugene Rumer, Andrew Weiss)
• The Russian and Ukrainian Spring 2021 War Scare Sep 21 (CSIS: Mykola Bielieskov)
• Russia's Adaptation to Ukrainian Export Controls on Defense Equipment Sep 20 (FPRI)
• Russia's 'Strategic Deterrence' in Ukraine Apr 19 (George C. Marshall Center: David Lewis)

Russia China

Strategic Issues

• Taiwan and the Limits of the Russia China Friendship June 24 (CEIP: Eugene Rumer)
• Impact of the War in Ukraine on Russia-China Power Dynamics in Central Asia June 24 (RISS: Natia Seskuria, Tatia Chikhladze and Jefferey Hawn)
• Russia and China In Central Asia: Cooperate, Compete, or Deconflict June 24 (CNAS: Andrea Kendall-Taylor, Lisa Curtis, Kate Johnston and Nathaniel Schochet)
• A New Era of Arctic Geopolitics June 24 (German Marshall Fund: Heather A. Conley, Sophia Arts, Kristine Berzina, Bonnie S. Glaser, and Jaine Archambeau)
• Eroding Russian Sovereignty in the Arctic: Understanding the Strategic Implications of the Sino-Russian Partnership Along the Northern Sea Route May 24 (German Marshall Fund: Heather A. Conley, Sophia Arts, Kristine Berzina, Bonnie S. Glaser, and Jaine Archambeau)
• Unpacking China’s Growing Ambitions in Central Asia April 24 (RISS)
• War and Sino-Russian Partnership April 24 (CEPA: Bobo Lo)
• China's Role in Central Asia Since the Beginning of the War in Ukraine April 24 (Regional Institute Strategic Studies: Tatia Chikhladze and Jeffrey Hawn)
• Sino-Russian Defence Industrial Partnership Post-Ukraine: A Better Bargain for China? Sep 23 (IISS: Meia Nouwens)
• Measuring and Explaining China-Russia Strategic Alignment in International Politics Aug 23 (Alexander Korolev)
• Advancing Understanding of China-Russia Relations Through Comparative Analysis: China-Russia and US-India Alignments Jul 23 (Alexander Korolev)
• Sino-Russian Defence Industrial Partnership Post Ukraine Jun 23 (IISS: Meia Nouwens)
• Applying the OMSA Framework (Part I): Measuring Military Cooperation Between China and Russia May 23 (Alexander Korolev)
• Russia China Security Cooperation: Beyond the Shared Neighborhood May 23 (Marcin Kaczmarski)
• The OMSA Ordinal Model of Strategic Alignment Framework Apr 23 (Alexander Korolev)
• Russian-Chinese Military Cooperation An Increasingly Unequal Partnership Mar 23 (CNA: Dmitry Gorenburg, Paul Schwartz, Brian Waidelich, Elizabeth Wishnick, Mary Chesnut, Brooke Lennox)
• The Sino-Russian Defense Industrial Relationship: Conflict or Cooperation? Sep 22 (EAG: Richard Connolly)
• Understanding the Broader Transatlantic Security Implications of Greater Sino-Russian Military Alignment Sep 22 (CSIS: Max Bergmann, Andrew Lohsen)
• Russia's National Security Narrative: All Quiet on the Eastern Front May 22 (Carnegie Eugene Rumer, Richard Sokolosky)
• China's Response to the Russia-Ukraine Crisis: Western Sanctions Options and Beijing's Response Dec 21 (FPRI: Chris Miller)
• Russia Navigating the New Dynamics of Indo-Pacific Security Sep 21 (RUSI: Neil Melvin)
• Partnership Without Substance: Sino-Russian Relations in Central an Eastern Europe May 21 (CEPA: Bobo Lo Edward Lucas)
• Russia's Missing Debate on Great Power Competition May 21 (Carnegie: Paul Stronski Andrew Weiss)
• Russia in the Asia-Pacific: Less Than Meets the Eye Sep 20 (Carnegie Eugene Rumer, Richard Sokolosky, Aleksandr Vladicic)
• Russia-China Cooperation in Biotechnology and Biomedical Engineering Sep 20 (FPRI)
• Strategic Culture and Russia's 'Pivot to the East': Russia, China, and 'Greater Eurasia' Jul 19 (George C. Marshall Center: David Lewis)

Military Issues

• The China-Russia Military Relationship Evolution, Drivers and Implications 1949-2024 June 24 (Oriana Mastro)
• General Zolotov: Putin's Doberman March 24 (Mayak Intelligence: Mark Galeotti)
• The China-Russia Military Relationship Evolution, Drivers and Implications 1949-2024 June 24 (Oriana Mastro)
• Russian Chinese Strategic Aviation Exercise Jul 23 (Richard Weitz)
• Agile and Adaptable: US and NATO Approaches to Russia's Short-Term Military Potential Jul 23 (CSIS: Lisa Aronsson; John R Deni: Hannah Notte)
• Sino-Russian Naval Drills with South Africa: Assessing Naval Exercise Mosi II Jun 23 (Richard Weitz)
• Posing Problems Without Shaking Up: Sino Russian Military Alignment and Implications for Global Security Jun 23 (Oriana Mastro)
• Russia-China Defense Cooperation Implications for U.S. Defense Strategy and Grand Strategy Sep 22 (Brian Carlson)
• Sino-Russian Interactions in Vostok-2022 Sep 22 (Alion: Richard Weitz)
• Russia-China Space Cooperation: The New Frontier Sep 21 (Hudson Institute: Richard Weitz)
• Assessing Chinese-Russian Military Exercises Jun 21 (CSIS: Richard Weitz)
• Sin-Russian Defense Cooperation: Advantage China May 21 (Carnegie: Eugene Rumer, Richard Sokolsky)
• Russo-Chinese Military Cooperation: Trends Jan 20 (RAND: Scott Harold Elinea Treyger Ali Wayne)
• Limiting Factors in Russo-Chinese Military Cooperation Jan 20 (RAND: Scott Harold Elinea Treyger Ali Wayne)
• Russo-Chinese Military Contingencies Jan 20 (RAND: Scott Harold Elinea Treyger Ali Wayne)
• Russia-China Military Cooperation: Potential Implications for NATO and the Deterrence and Defense of the Euro-Atlantic Area Jan 20 (RAND: Anika Binnendijk, Marta Kepe)
• Influencing Russo-Chinese Military Cooperation Jan 20 (RAND: Ali Wayne Cortez Cooper)

Russian Military

Military Reconstitution

• Russian Military Mobilization During the Ukraine War July 24 (CNA: Paul Schwartz and Dmitry Gorenburg)
• Russian Military Reconstitution 2030 Pathways and Prospects June 24 (CEIP: Dara Massicot)
• Assessing Russia's Plans for Military Regeneration June 24 (Chatham House: Mathieu Boulegue, Justin Bronk, Karolina Hird, Jaclyn Kerr, Robert Lee, and Michael Petersen)
• NATO-Russia Dynamics: Prospects for Reconstitution of Russian Military Power June 24 (Atlantic Council: Andrew Michta and Joslyn Brodfuehrer)
• Building Back Better Investment in Russia's Defense Industry Since 2022 March 24 (Eastern Advisory Group: Richard Connolly)
• Estimating the Cost of Russian Force Reconstitution May 23 (EAG: Richard Connolly)
• Future Drivers of Russian Military Development Apr 23 (CEIP)
• Alternative Futures of the Russian Military Apr 23 (CSBA: Katherine Elgin, Thomas Mahnken)

Doctrine

• The Russian Military Medicine Experience in Ukraine July 24 (CNA: Gabriela Iveliz Rosa-Hernandez)
• Russian Doctrine and Military Thought Related to Non-Strategic Nuclear Weapons: Change and Continuity Sep 23 (IISS: William Alberque)

Technical Capabilities

• Adaptation Under Fire: Mass, Speed, And Accuracy Transform Russia’s Kill Chain In Ukraine Oct 24 (CEPA: Federico Borsari)
• The Russian Military Medicine Experience in Ukraine July 24 (CNA: Gabriela Iveliz Rosa-Hernandez)
• Long Term Strategic Vulnerabilities in Russia's Transport Network June 24 (RUSI)
• Collaboration For A Price Russian Military-Technical Cooperation April 24 (CSIS: Max Bergmann, Maria Snegovaya, Tina Dolbaia, and Nick Fenton)
• The Russian Terrestrial and Maritime Transport Networks April 24 (RUSI)
• DRAFT: Russian Cyber and Information Warfare in Practice-Lessons Observed From The War in Ukraine Sep 23 (Chatham House: Keir Giles)
• Russian Cyber and Information Warfare in Practice Jul 23 (Keir Giles)
• Russia’s Use of Uncrewed Systems in Ukraine Mar 23 (CNA: Jeffrey A. Edmonds, Samuel Bendett)
• Russian Cyberwarfare: Unpacking the Kremlin's Capabilities Sep 22 (CEPA: Andrei Soldatov, Irina Borogan)
• Untangling Moscow's Complex Cyber Web Sep 22 (CEPA: Justin Sherman)
• Advanced Military Technology in Russian Capabilities and Implications Sep 21 (Chatham House: Samuel Bendett, Mathieu Boulegue, Richard Connolly, Margarita Konaev, Pavel Podvig, Karazyrna Zysk)
• Russia and the Technological Race in an Era of Great Power Competition Sep 21 (CSIS: Dominik Jankowski)
• Russia's Procurement of Armored Vehicles Jun 20 (FPRI: Chris Miller, Stephanie Petrella, Maia Otarshvili)
• Future Russian Tank Procurement and the T-14 Armata Tank May 20 (FPRI: Chris Miller, Stephanie Petrella, Maia Otarshvili)
• Exploring Russia's A2AD Playbook: A Wikistrat Crowdsourced Simulation Mar 18 (Wikistrat: Mark Galeotti, Dmitry Gorenburg, Richard Weitz, Robert Dalsjo, Taras Kuzio)

Strategy

• Russian Attritional Warfare: Assessing Lessons and Applications from the War in Ukraine Oct 24 (Atlantic Council: Andrew Michta)
• Nuclear Weapons, Escalation Management, and the War in Ukraine July 24 (Hal Brands)
• Back To The Future: Russian Nuclear and Strategic Deterrence, 1993-2024 July 24 (Dimitri Minic)
• More of the Same? The Future of the Russia Military And Its Ability to Change Sep 23 (CSBA: Katherine Kjellstrom Elgin)
• Strategy Without Design: Decoding Kremlin Behaviour Sep 23 (Ofer Fridman and Vera Michlin-Shapir)
• The Svechin School of Strategy: A Framework for Analyzing Russian Military Strategy in the 2020's Jul 23 (Russian Research Network: Andrew Monaghan)
• Russia’s Evolution Toward a Unified Strategic Operation The Influence of Geography and Conventional Capacity Mar 23 (RAND: Clint Reach, Alyssa Demus, Michelle Gris, Khrystyna Holynska, Christopher Lynch, Dara Massicot, David Woodworth)
• Russian Military Strategy: Core Tenets and Operational Concepts Aug 21 (CNA)

Space

• Understanding the Broader Transatlantic Security Implications of Greater Sino-Russian Military Alignment Sep 22 (CSIS: Max Bergmann, Andrew Lohsen)
• Antarctica Russia's Data Information Wars on the Final Frontier Aug 22 (RUSI: Emily Ferris)
• Exploring Russia's Space Policy Jul 22 (Chatham House: Workshop Summary)
• Russia-China Space Cooperation: The New Frontier Sep 21 (Hudson Institute: Richard Weitz)
• Russian Military Strategy: Core Tenets and Operational Concepts Aug 21 (CNA)
• Caeleste Ursa: A Red Team Exercise Apr 21 (Centra Technology, Inc) Six vignettes related to Russia's use of Space and Decision-Making
• The Role of GLONASS in Russia's Space Strategy Jul 20 (FPRI: Chris Miller, Stephanie Petrella, Maia Otarshvili)

Future War

• The Future of Russian Force Design, Defense Industrial Base, and Military Acquisition Oct 24 (CEPA: G. Alexander Crowther)
• Structure and Design of the Russian Ground Forces Combat Formations in a 10 to 15 Years Perspective June 24 (Rochan: Franz-Stefan Gady, Konrad Muzyka, Konrad Skorupa and Ireneusz Kulesza)
• Russia Enduring Sanctions and Reconstituting Its Military Sep 22 (Russian Research Network: Andrew Monaghan Richard Connolly)
• The Future of Russian Airborne Forces Sep 22 (FPRI: Rob Lee)
• Russian Maritime Strategy: Establishing Russia as a Leading Seafaring State Sep 22 (Russian Research Network: Andrew Monaghan Richard Connolly)
• Russian Perspectives on Future Warfare and the Role of Strategic Foresight Apr 22 (Roger McDermott)
• The Sources of Contemporary Military Thought: You Cannot Generate Ideas by Orders Sep 21 (Roger McDermott)
• C4ISR and Russia's Future Warfare Capabilities: Testing the Reconnaissance-Fire System in Syria Jun 21 (Roger McDermott)
• Russia's Artificial Intelligence Development Strategy: State Owned Firms and Prospects for the Defense Industry Sep 20 (FPRI: Chris Miller, Stephanie Petrella, Maia Otarshvili)
• The Role of GLONASS in Russia's Space Strategy Jul 20 (FPRI: Chris Miller, Stephanie Petrella, Maia Otarshvili)

Information Confrontation

• Crackdown on Encryption July 24 (Luke Rodeheffer)
• How Patriotic Policy Critics Shape National Security Decision Making and Impact Regime Stability June 24 (Jade McGlynn)
• Under the Patronage of the President: Weaponising the All-Russia People's Front Aug 23 (RUSI)
• "Information War" as Russia's Theory of Influence Jul 22 (Ofer Fridman, Vera Michlin-Shapir)
• Russia's Digital Economy Program and the Kremlins Information Security Agenda Sep 20 (FPRI)
• Russia's Challenge to Global Internet Governance Aug 20 (FPRI)
• Facial Recognition Technology in Russia May 20 (FPRI)
• Mapping Russian Media Network: Media's Role in Russian Foreign Policy and Decision Making Jan 18 (CNA)

Military Culture

• Russian Attritional Warfare: Assessing Lessons and Applications from the War in Ukraine Oct 24 (Atlantic Council: Andrew Michta)
• Russian Military Adaptation After Ukraine Oct 24 (CEIP: Michael Kofman and Dara Massicot)
• Russian Military Mobilization During the Ukraine War July 24 (CNA: Paul Schwartz and Dmitry Gorenburg)
• The Russia-Iranian Learning Community in the Matter of Precision Warfare Drivers, Content, and Implications July 24 (Strategic Consultancy: Dima Adamsky)
• Assessing Russian Military Adaptation in 2023 June 24 (CEIP: Michael Kofman)
• Casualty Aversion in Russian Military Culture June 24 (RUSI)
• Soviet Shadows: Understanding Russian Soldiers Ideological Drivers June 24 (Politika Center: Marlene Laruelle, Ivan Grek, Kirill Titaev Sergei Tikhonov and Maria Popova)
• Learning Lessons? Institutional Structures and Processes within the Russian Military April 24 (Tracey German)
• Russian Wartime Resilience Through the Lens of Russian Strategic Culture Oct 23 (Strategic Consultancy: Dima Adamsky)
• False Reporting and the Russian Way of War: Causes and Consequences Sep 23 (Strategic Consultancy: Dima Adamsky)
• Quantitative Analysis of the Ideology and Motivation of Russian PoWs Sep 23 (The Politika Research Center: Ivan Grek and Malene Laruelle)
• The Roots of Russian Military Dysfunction Mar 23 (FPRI: Philip G. Wasielewski)
• The Russian Style of Command and Control: Change, Continuity and Implications Sep 22 (Strategic Consultancy Dima Adamsky)
• Myths and Misconceptions around Russian Military Intent Aug 22 (Chatham House)
• Russian Command and Control in Ukraine Jul 22 (FPRI: Rob Lee)
• Russian Military Strategy: Using Deceptions to Seize the Initiative in War Jun 22 (Russian Research Network: Andrew Monaghan)
• Spetsnaz Veterans and Politics: Angry Men May 22 (Mayak Intelligence: Mark Galeotti)
• Chemical Weapons between Coercion and War-Fighting: The View From Russia May 22 (Strategic Consultancy: Dima Adamsky)
• Russian Main Military-Political Directorate Sep 21 (Strategic Consultancy Dima Adamsky)
• Command and Control Culture a la Russe: Continuity, Change, and Prospects Sep 21 (Strategic Consultancy: Dima Adamsky)
• Understanding Senior Leadership Dynamics within the Russian Military Jun 21 (CSIS: Kirill Shamiev)
• Russian Strategy for Escalation Management: Key Debates and Players in Military Thought Apr 20 (CNA)
• Russian Strategy for Escalation Management: Evolution of Key Concepts Apr 20 (CNA)
• The Diversity of Russia's Military Power: Five Perspectives Sep 20 (CSIS)
• Improvisation and Adaptability in the Russian Military Apr 20 (CSIS)
• The Interplay of Dureaucratic, War-Fighting, and Arms-Parading Traits in Russian Military-Strategic Culture Apr 19 (George C. Marshall Center)

Organization

• Structure and Design of the Russian Ground Forces Combat Formations in a 10 to 15 Years Perspective June 24 (Rochan: Franz-Stefan Gady, Konrad Muzyka, Konrad Skorupa and Ireneusz Kulesza)
• The Evolving Role of the National Guard and Their Capacity to Control the Streets June 24 (Mayak Intelligence: Mark Galeotti)
• Rosgvardiya Command: Praetorians Divided April 24 (Mayak Intelligence: Mark Galeotti)
• Russian Force Reconstitution: Challenges and Prospects Aug 22 (EAG: Richard Connolly)
• The Secretariat: The Security Council Staff an Russian Policymaking Jul 22 (Mayak Intelligence: Mark Galeotti)
• Spetsnaz: The Men Behind the Mission Jun 22 (Mayak Intelligence: Mark Galeotti)
• Rosgvardia: A Militarized Solution to Nonmilitary Threats? Jan 22 (Alion: Matthew Pennock)

Military Exercises

• Russian Military Personnel and Proficiency Policies, Reforms and Recent Trends Mar 23 (RAND: Anika Binnendijk, Dara Massicot, Anthony Atler, John Drennan, Khrystyna Holynska,Katya Migacheva, Marek Posard, Yuliya Shokh)
• An Assessment of ZAPAD 2021 Part 1: Russia's Strategic Military Exercises and its Long-Term Defense Posture Jan 22 (Roger McDermott)
• An Assessment of ZAPAD 2021 Part 2 Major Themes and Innovative Features Jan 22 (Roger McDermott)
• ZAPAD-2021 and Russia's Potential for Warfighting Aug 21 (FPRI: Johan Norberg Natalie Simpson)
• ZAPAD-2021: Purpose of the Annual Strategic Exercise Aug 21 (FPRI: Rob Lee)
• Russia Goes to War: Exercises, Signaling, War Scares, and Military Confrontations Jun 21 (CSIS: Konrad Muzyka)

General Staff

• The Central Brain of the Russian Armed Forces - The Modern Russian General Staff July 24 (CNA: Julian Waller, Dmitry Gorenburg)
• The Russian General Staff:Understanding the Military's Decisionmaking Role in a "Besieged Fortress" Apr 23 (RAND: Alexis A. Blanc, Alyssa Demus, Sandra Kay Evans, Michelle Grisé, Mark Hvizda, Marta Kepe, Natasha Lander, Krystyna Marcinek)
• Russia's Military Deployment to Ukraine's Borderlands 2021-22: Kremlin and General Staff Lessons Mar 22 (Roger McDermott)
• The Military Instrument and the Influence of the General Staff Oct 21 (Phronesis: Oscar Jonsson)
• The Main Operations Directorate: The Head and Heart of Russian General Staff Jul 22 (Mayak Intelligence: Mark Galeotti)
• The Russian General Staff between Soft Warfare and a Hard Place Sep 21 (Phronesis: Oscar Jonsson)
• The Main Operations Directorate and Command and Control of the Syrian Deployment Sep 21 (Mayak Intelligence: Mark Galeotti)
• Gerasimov and General Staff Views on the Future of War Aug 21 (Roger McDermott)
• How Does The Russian General Staff Operate in Crisis?" Aug 21 (Mayak Intelligence: Mark Galeotti)
• How Does The Russian General Staff View "Competition?" Aug 21 (Mayak Intelligence: Mark Galeotti)
• How Does The Russian General Staff View "Strategic Stability?" Aug 21 (Mayak Intelligence: Mark Galeotti)

The Russian State

National Security

• Russia's Political-Military Establishment Debates Credibility of Nuclear Threats and Potential Nuclear Employment July 24 (CNA: Anya Fink, Gabriela Iveliz Rosa-Hernandez, and Cornell Overfield)
• Crackdown on Encryption July 24 (Luke Rodeheffer)
• How Patriotic Policy Critics Shape National Security Decision Making and Impact Regime Stability June 24 (Jade McGlynn)
• The Evolving Role of the National Guard and Their Capacity to Control the Streets June 24 (Mayak Intelligence: Mark Galeotti)
• Eroding Russian Sovereignty in the Arctic: Understanding the Strategic Implications of the Sino-Russian Partnership Along the Northern Sea Route May 24 (German Marshall Fund: Heather A. Conley, Sophia Arts, Kristine Berzina, Bonnie S. Glaser, and Jaine Archambeau)
• Rosgvardiya Command: Praetorians Divided April 24 (Mayak Intelligence: Mark Galeotti)
• Russia's Future State System: Potential Strengths & Weakness Jun 23 (Chatham House)
• Imagining Russia's Future After Putin May 23 (Chatham House: Duncan Allan)
• Kremlinology and State Mobilization Jul 23 (Russian Research Network: Andrew Monaghan, Richard Connolly)
• Rogue Power: Russia's Wartime Foreign Policy May 23 (CEIP: Eugene Rumer)
• Russia's Great Pivot Inwards: Russia's Foreign Policy Since the Ukraine War Mar 23 (RUSI)
• Russia’s Military Plans and Demographic Reality, Part Two Feb 23 (Keir Giles)
• Russia's Surveillance State Sep 22 (CEPA: Andrei Sldatov, Irina Borogan)
• Putin's G6 Plan a Candidate for Russia's Tech Graveyard Sep 22 (CEPA: Andrei Sldatov, Irina Borogan)
• The Law Enforcement Agencies: Russian Domestic Security and International Implications Feb 20 (Georg C. Marshall Center)

Defense Industry

• The Future of Russian Force Design, Defense Industrial Base, and Military Acquisition Oct 24 (CEPA: G. Alexander Crowther)
• Crafting the Russian War Economy - The Effects of Export Controls on Russia's Defense Industrial Production July 24 (CNA: Dmitry Gorenburg, Samuel Bendett, Ken Gause, Pavel Luzin, Gabriela Iveliz Rosa-Hernandez, Paul Schwartz, and Elizabeth Wishnick)
• Executive Summary Russian Defense Industrial Base Workshop June 24 (Janes)
• The Demise of the Russian Arms Export Machine Opportunities April 24 (CEPA: James Hasik)
• Building Back Better Investment in Russia's Defense Industry Since 2022 March 24 (Eastern Advisory Group: Richard Connolly)
• Russia’s War in Ukraine: Critical Vulnerabilities to Russia’s Military Operations and Systems Jun 23 (FPRI: Rob Lee and Philip Wasielewski)
• Russian Positions on Arms Control: 2022-2023 May 23 (CNA: Mary Chesnut)
• A War of Attrition Jun 23 (CSIS: Paul Schwartz)
• Russia's Military Industry Forecast 2023-2025 Apr 23 (FPRI: Pavel Luzin)
• Out of Stock? Assessing the Impact of Sanctions on Russia’s Defense Industry Apr 23 (CSIS: Max Bergmann, Maria Snegovaya, Tina Dolbaia, Nick Fention, Samuel Bendett)
• Russia's Capacity for Defense-Industrial Innovation Sep 20 (EAG)
• Russia's De-Dollarization Campaign and its Implications in Defense Exports Jun 20 (FPRI)
• Russian Civil Aviation: A Case Study on the Prospects of Defense Sector Conversion Apr 20 (FPRI)

• Russian Defense Industry Analysis (RDIA): A series of reports exploring the Russia Defense Industry
• Russian Defense Industry Analysis No. 14: The Impact of the War in Ukraine on Procurement, New Maritime Document Signed, Sarmat to Enter Serial Production in Small Numbers Aug 22 (EAG: Richard Connolly)
• Russian Defense Industry Analysis No. 13: The Nuclear-Powered Submarine Construction and Repair Industry, Military Expenditures to Rise, The Slow Pace of Modernization in Naval Aviation Feb 22 (EAG: Richard Connolly)
• Russian Defense Industry Analysis No. 12: Defense-Industrial Relations with Belarus Sep 21 (EAG: Richard Connolly)
• Russian Defense Industry Analysis No. 11: Defense-Industrial Relations with Belarus July 21 (EAG: Richard Connolly)
• Russian Defense Industry Analysis No. 10: Sub-Strategic Hypersonic Missiles, State Policy, Aerospace Forces, Naval Forces, Ground Forces, Strategic Forces Arms Exports Apr 21 (EAG: Richard Connolly)
• Russian Defense Industry Analysis No. 9: Lessons Learnt from the Nagorno-Karbakh War, State Policy, Aerospace Forces, Naval Forces, Ground Forces, Strategic Forces, and Arms Exports Jan 21 (EAG: Richard Connolly)
• Russian Defense Industry Analysis No. 8: Defense-Industrial Relations with Belarus, Defense Policy, Aerospace Systems, Missile Systems, Naval Systems, Ground Forces Systems, and Arms Exports Aug 20 (EAG: Richard Connolly)
• Russian Defense Industry Analysis No. 7: Import Substitution in the Defense Industry, State Defense Policy, Aerospace and Missile Systems, Naval Systems, Ground Forces Systems, and Arms Exports Jul 20 (EAG: Richard Connolly, David Fields)
• Russian Defense Industry Analysis No. 6: Russian Air Defense Systems, State Defense Policy, Aerospace Systems, Naval Systems, Ground Forces Systems, Missile Systems, and Arms Exports Jun 20 (EAG: Richard Connolly)
• Russian Defense Industry Analysis No. 5: Construction of New Warships, State Defense Policy, Aerospace Systems, Naval Systems, Ground Forces Systems, and Arms Exports May 20 (EAG: Richard Connolly)
• Russian Defense Industry Analysis No. 4: Russia's Nuclear Energy Strategy, State Defense Policy, Aerospace Systems, Naval Systems, Ground Forces Systems, Missile Systems, and Arms Exports Apr 20 (EAG: Richard Connolly)
• Russian Defense Industry Analysis No. 3: Russia's Oil Price War Gambit, Putin Signs New Arctic Strategy, State Defense Policy, Aerospace Systems, Naval Systems, Ground Forces Systems, and Arms Exports Mar 20 (EAG: Richard Connolly)
• Russian Defense Industry Analysis No. 2: Russian Arms Exports in 2019, State Defense Policy, Aerospace Systems, Naval Systems, Ground Forces Systems, Missile Systems, and Arms Exports Feb 20 (EAG: Richard Connolly)
• Russian Defense Industry Analysis No. 1: Key Trends and Indicators of Future Russian Capabilities Jan 20 (EAG: Richard Connolly)

• Russian Defense Industry and Political Economy Project (FPRI): A series of reports exploring the Russia Defense Industry/Political Economy
• Russian Defense Sector Exports 10A: Biotech Oct 20 (FPRI)
• Russian Defense Sector Exports 10B: Russia in the Sahel Oct 20 (FPRI)
• Russian Defense Sector Exports 10C: Artificial Intelligence Oct 20 (FPRI)
• Russian Defense Sector Exports 9A: Belarus Aug 20 (FPRI)
• Russian Defense Sector Exports 9B: Export Controls Aug 20 (FPRI)
• Russian Defense Sector Exports 9C: Digital Economy Aug 20 (FPRI)
• Russian Defense Sector Exports 8A: Russia in the Arctic Aug 20 (FPRI)
• Russian Defense Sector Exports 8B: Global Internet Aug 20 (FPRI)
• Russian Defense Sector Exports 8C: Private Military Companies Aug 20 (FPRI)
• Russian Defense Sector Exports 7A: Nuclear Deterrence Jul 20 (FPRI)
• Russian Defense Sector Exports 7B: PMC's in Libya Jul 20 (FPRI)
• Russian Defense Sector Exports 7C: GLONASS Jul 20 (FPRI)
• Russian Defense Sector Exports 6A: COVID-19 Impacts to Russia Jun 20 (FPRI)
• Russian Defense Sector Exports 6B: Armor Procurement Jun 20 (FPRI)
• Russian Defense Sector Exports 6C: Russian De-Dollarization Jun 20 (FPRI)
• Russian Defense Sector Exports 5A: T-14 Armata May 20 (FPRI)
• Russian Defense Sector Exports 5B: Facial Recognition Technology in Russia May 20 (FPRI)
• Russian Defense Sector Exports 5C: Russian Exports in Africa May 20 (FPRI)
• Russian Defense Sector Exports 5D: COVID-19 Impacts to Russia May 20 (FPRI)
• Russian Defense Sector Exports 4A: COVID-19 Impacts to Russia Apr 20 (FPRI)
• Russian Defense Sector Exports 4B: Civil Aviation Apr 20 (FPRI)
• Russian Defense Sector Exports 4C: PMC in Sub-Saharan Africa Apr 20 (FPRI)

Report format change

• Russian Defense Sector Exports 3 Mar 20 (FPRI)
• Russian Defense Sector Exports 2 Feb 20 (FPRI)
• Russian Defense Sector Exports 1 Jan 20 (FPRI)

Russian Intelligence Services

• Russia's Revolution in Intelligence Affairs: From Natural Stupidity to Artificial Intelligence Mar 22 (Phronesis Analysis: Oscar Jonsson, Bryce Johnston)
• Russia's Revolution in Intelligence Affairs: AI and Active Measures Jun 22 (Phronesis Analysis: Oscar Jonsson)
• RISCy Business: The Role of Intelligence and Security Community in Shaping Russian Actions Jun 21 (Mayak Intelligence: Mark Galeotti)
• Intelligence Briefing, Russian-Style Jun 21 (Mayak Intelligence: Mark Galeotti)
• Intelligence Service "Colonization" of Government Apparatus Jun 21 (Mayak Intelligence: Mark Galeotti)
• Russian Intelligence and Security Community and Foreign Policy Jun 21 (Mayak Intelligence: Mark Galeotti)
• Russian Intelligence and Security Community and the Military Jun 21 (Mayak Intelligence: Mark Galeotti)
• The Federal Security Service: The Political Police Jun 21 (Mayak Intelligence: Mark Galeotti)
• GRU: Military Intelligence May 21 (Mayak Intelligence: Mark Galeotti)
• SVR: The Foreign Intelligence Service May 21 (Mayak Intelligence: Mark Galeotti)
• The Intelligence and Security Services and Strategic Decision-Making May 19 (George C. Marshall Center: Mark Galeotti)

Security Council

• Sergei Shoigu: More Than Just Putin's Strong Right Arm Jun 22 (Mayak Intelligence: Mark Galeotti)
• Tarnished Star: Sergei Shoigu's Future May 22 (Mayak Intelligence: Mark Galeotti)
• God's Servant and the State's: Sergei Shoigu and the Russian Orthodox Church May 22 (Mayak Intelligence: Mark Galeotti)
• The Holistic Hawk: Sergei Shoigu and War Mar 22 (Mayak Intelligence: Mark Galeotti)
• Shoigu and Patrushev-Reporting to Putin, but Not to Each Other Mar 22 (Mayak Intelligence: Mark Galeotti)
• The Decorative Hawk: Dmitry Medvev and the Security Council Mar 22 (Mayak Intelligence: Mark Galeotti)
• The Dovish Hawk: Sergei Shoigu and the West Jan 22 (Mayak Intelligence: Mark Galeotti)
• The Perpetual Patrushev: The Implications of This Extended Tenure at the Security Council Sep 21 (Mayak Intelligence: Mark Galeotti)
• Caeleste Ursa: A Red Team Exercise Apr 21 (Centra Technology, Inc) Six vignettes related to Russia's use of Space and Decision-Making
• Crisis Decision-Making in the Kremlin Dec 16 (CNA: Samuel Bendett Paul Schwartz)

Private Military Companies

• The Evolution of Russia's Use of Private Military Companies as Instruments of State Power June 24 (Tracey German)
• Prigozhin's Children June 24 (Mayak Intelligence: Mark Galeotti, Anna Arutunyan)
• The Prigozhin Experience March 24 (Mayak Intelligence: Mark Galeotti)
• Potential Russian Uses of Paramilitaries in Eurasia September 23 (CNAS: Kimberly Martin, Andrea Kendall-Taylor,Nicholas Lokker, Kristen Taylor)
• Russia's Virtual Private Network in Central Africa Jun 21 (Carnegie)
• How Potent is Wagner? Sep 20 (Carnegie)
• Making Wagner Squirm: Easier Said then Done Sep 20 (Carnegie)
• Implausible Deniability: Russia's Private Military Companies Jun 20 (Carnegie)
• Russia's Use of Private Military Contractors in Libya Jul 20 (FPRI)

Understanding Russia

• Can We Still Learn Russian Public Opinion? Polling Russia at War Time Aug 23 (The Politika Research Center)
• Arms, Oil and Soviet-Era Nostalgia Aug 23 (RUSI)
• Russia's Future Military May Look Like Iran Jun 23 (CSIS: Max Bergmann)
• Russia’s Military Interventions Mar 23 (RAND: Samuel Charap, Edward Geist, Bryan Frederick, John J. Drennan, Nathan Chandler, Jennifer Kavanagh)
• Churches as Battlegrounds in Ukraine Oct 22 (Kathryn David)
• Domestic Stability and Ukraine Sep 22 (Mayak Intelligence: Anna Arutunyan)
• Pillars of Domestic Stability and the Conduct of the Special Military Operation Sep 22 (Matthew Blackburn)
• How and Why Would the Kremlin End the War in Ukraine? Aug 22 (Ofer Fridman, Vera Michlin-Shapir)
• Handling a Wounded Bear: NATO-Russia Relations in the Aftermath of the War in Ukraine Jul 22 (Ofer Fridman, Vera Michlin-Shapir)
• Russian Grand Strategy May 22 (Stephen Kotkin)
• The Protraction of the Kremlin's War in Ukraine: A Safe Bet or a Risky Gamble for Putin's Regime Stability? May 22 (Ofer Fridman, Vera Michlin-Shapir)

Economics

• Crafting the Russian War Economy - The Effects of Export Controls on Russia's Defense Industrial Production July 24 (CNA: Dmitry Gorenburg, Samuel Bendett, Ken Gause, Pavel Luzin, Gabriela Iveliz Rosa-Hernandez, Paul Schwartz, and Elizabeth Wishnick)
• Arctic LNG-Fluxys and Other Potential Chokepoints July 24 (Dekleptocracy:Kristofer Harrison)
• The Demise of the Russian Arms Export Machine Opportunities April 24 (CEPA: James Hasik)
• The Russian Terrestrial and Maritime Transport Networks April 24 (RUSI)
• Conference Proceedings: Economic Aspects of the War in Ukraine 2022-2024 April 24 (Christopher Mark Davis)
• Russia's Future as an Arms Exporter September 23 (EAG: Richard Connolly)
• The Defense Industrial Complex in the Russian State Capitalist Economy Before, During and After the 2022-23 War in Ukraine Aug 23 (Christopher Mark Davis)
• The Affordability of Force Reconstitution Aug 23 (EAG: Richard Connolly)
• Sellers Remorse: The Challenges Facing Russia's Arms Exports Jul 23 (CSIS: Max Bergmann, Maria Snegovaya, Tina Dolbaia, and Nick Fenton)
• The Kalashnikov Economy at War Jul 23 (EAG: Richard Connolly)
• The Kalashnikov Economy: Part 4 The Economic Sources of the Regime (In) Stability Sep 21 (EAG: Richard Connolly)
• Russia's Political Economy to 2030 and Beyond: Megatrends and Game Changers Sep 21 (Russian Research Network)
• The Kalashnikov Economy: Part 3 Russia's National Champions-Economic Means for Political Ends Jul 21 (EAG: Richard Connolly)
• Arming Allies: Russia as a Competitor on Global Arms Markets Jun 21 (EAG: Richard Connolly)
• The Kalashnikov Economy: Part 2 Russia's Economic Order of Battle Apr 21 (EAG: Richard Connolly)
• Growing Russia's Influence Abroad: Russia as a Competitor in the Global Grain markets Mar 21 (EAG: Richard Connolly)
• The Kalashnikov Economy: Part 1 Understanding Russia's Securitized Economic Policy Jan 21 (EAG: Richard Connolly)
• Atoms for Influence: Russia as a Competitor on the Global Nuclear Energy Market Dec 20 (EAG: Richard Connolly)
• Russian Military Purchasing Parity Estimate Jun 20 (EAG: Richard Connolly)

History

• The China-Russia Military Relationship Evolution, Drivers and Implications 1949-2024 June 24 (Oriana Mastro)
• Prospects of Stability in a New Cold War: What Lessons Does the Cold War Hold? Jun 22 (Hal Brands)

Deterrence

• Russia's Political-Military Establishment Debates Credibility of Nuclear Threats and Potential Nuclear Employment July 24 (CNA: Anya Fink, Gabriela Iveliz Rosa-Hernandez, and Cornell Overfield)
• Crafting the Russian War Economy - The Effects of Export Controls on Russia's Defense Industrial Production July 24 (CNA: Dmitry Gorenburg, Samuel Bendett, Ken Gause, Pavel Luzin, Gabriela Iveliz Rosa-Hernandez, Paul Schwartz, and Elizabeth Wishnick)
• Nuclear Weapons, Escalation Management, and the War in Ukraine July 24 (Hal Brands)
• Back To The Future: Russian Nuclear and Strategic Deterrence, 1993-2024 July 24 (Dimitri Minic)
• Assessing the Evolving Russian Nuclear Threat September 23 (CNAS: Andrea Kendall-Taylor, Michael Kofman, Nicholas Lokker)
• Russia's Nuclear Policy After Ukraine Jul 23 (FPRI: Stephen Blank)
• Signalling Russia: Exercise Report Jul 23 (Chatham House)
• Russian Strategic Deterrence: Wartime Adaptions and Reconstitution Trajectories Jun 23 (Strategic Consultancy: Dima Adamsky)
• Russian Nuclear Intimidation Mar 23 (Chatham House: Keir Giles)
• Deployment and Use of Russia's NSNW: Like the Cold War, Only More Dangerous Sep 22 (IISS)
• Under What Conditions Would Putin use NSNW? Sep 22 (Russian Research Network: Andrew Monaghan)
• To Nuke or Not to Nuke: The Kremlin's Dilemma in an Event of Conventional Kinetic Escalation with NATO Jun 22 (Ofer Fridman Vera Michlin-Shapir)
• Russian Nuclear Strategy in the Ukraine War: An Interim Report May 22 (FPRI: Stephen Blank)
• Russian Escalation Management: Lessons from Russia's Wars against Georgia and Ukraine Mar 22 (FPRI: Chris Miller, Maia Otarashvilli)
• Deterring Russia: Four Challenges Mar 22 (AEI: Hal Brands)
• What Deters Russia? Sep 21 (Keir Giles)
• Russia and Strategic Non-Nuclear Deterrence Jul 21 (Chatham House)
• Deterrence a la Russe: Final Report Jun 21 (Strategic Consultancy: Dima Adamsky)
• Russian Views on Strategic Deterrence: More than Meets the Eye (Short Fuse Assessment) Apr 21 (Cargegie)
• Change and Continuity in Russia's Nuclear Deterrence Strategy Jul 20 (FPRI:Chris Miller, Stephanie Petrlla, Maia Otarashvilli)
• Foundations of State Policy of the Russian Federation in the Area of Nuclear Deterrence Translated Document Jun 20 (CNA)

Global Influence

• Russia's New Global Activism April 24 (CEIP: Eugene Rumer)
• Russia's Changing Relationships With Countries Around The World April 24 (CNAS: Andrea Kendall-Taylor)
• Exploring Russia's Space Policy Jul 22 (Chatham House: Workshop Summary)
• Russian Strategic Culture and the Future of Transatlantic Security Sep 20 (Carnegie)
• Power Games: Russia as a Competitor on Global Natural Resource Markets Aug 21 (EAG)

• Russian Globally Integrated Operations Project: Four short reports examining Russian Strategic thinking and activity (Russian Research Network: Andrew Monaghan)
  • Russia's Grand Strategy (Not Opportunism) Jun 20 (Russian Research Network)
  • How Moscow Maps the World Jul 20 (Russian Research Network)
  • Polar Power: Russian Energy and Globally Integrated Operations Aug 20 (Russian Research Network)
  • Russia's Role as Supplier of Strategically Important Goods Sep 20 (Russian Research Network)
• Active Measures: Russia's Covert Geopolitical Operations Jun 19 (George C. Marshall Center)

Great Power Competition

• Russia's Growing Coalition with China, Iran, and North Korea April 24 (CSIS: Seth G. Jones and Daniel Byman)
• From Reluctance to Greater Alignment April 24 (German Marshall Fund: Heather A. Conley, Sophie Arts, Bonnie S. Glaser and Kristine Berzina)
• Foresight on Russia in the Era of Great Power Competition Sep 21 (Russian Research Network)
• Myths and Misconceptions in the Debate on Russia May 21 (Chatham House)
• Russia's Missing Debate on Great Power Competition May 21 (Carnegie)

Special Topics

• Mapping and Assessing The Russia- Watching Community Aug 2023 (HCSS: Stephan De Spiegeleire, Viktoriia Kravchyk, Kateryna Ionova, Kyrylo Khutornyi, Darya Kuzmina, Ihor Tkhoruk, GPT4)
• Key Narratives in Putin's Wartime Speeches May 23 (CNA: Julian G. Waller)

Critical Vulnerabilities

• Long Term Strategic Vulnerabilities in Russia's Transport Network June 24 (RUSI)
• The Russian Terrestrial and Maritime Transport Networks April 24 (RUSI)
• Identifying Russian Vulnerabilities and How to Leverage Them Sep 23 (CNAS: Andrea Kendall-Taylor, Richard Connolly, Siemon Wezeman, Gavin Wilde, Elina Ribakova, Benjamin Hilgenstock, Edward Fishman, Eric Ciaramella, Paul Stronski, Peter Schroeder, and Timothy Frye)
• Understanding Russia's Military Vulnerabilities Sep 23 (Chatham House: Mathieu Boulegue, Justin Bronk, Natalia Bugayova, Mason Clark, Robin Haggblom, Margarita Konaev, Pavel Luzin)

Forecasting Russian Confrontation (Good Judgement, Inc)

• Forecasting Russian Confrontation towards the United States, Its Allies, and Its Partners in the European Theater in 2023 Feb 19
• Forecasting Russian Confrontation towards the United States, Its Allies, and Its Partners in the European Theater in 2023 Sep 18
• Forecasting Russian Confrontation towards the United States, Its Allies, and Its Partners in the European Theater in 2023 Aug 18
• Forecasting Russian Confrontation towards the United States, Its Allies, and Its Partners in the European Theater in 2023 Jul 18

Correlation of Forces and Means

• Russian Assessments and Application of the Correlation of Forces and Means Jan 20 (RAND)
• Correlation of Forces and Means Translations, Volume 1: 1969-1987 Jul 19 (RAND)
• Correlation of Forces and Means Translations, Volume 2: 1992-2014 Jun 19 (RAND)
• Correlation of Forces and Means Translations, Volume 3: 2014-2019 Feb 20 (RAND)

Links

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• APAN: RSI Project Connect

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